News, observations about Ukraine, Ukraine, Ukrainian independence, Ukraine's wars of independence, Russian imperialism, US-Ukraine relations, former captive nations, democracy, human rights, nationalism, patriotism, Poroshenko, Zelenskyy, Putin, Maidan, Euromaidan, ATO, Donbas, Heaven's Hundred, Russia, Russo-Ukraine War of 2014-20, Crimea, Revolution of Dignity, Kyiv, Lviv
Thursday, January 9, 2025
Sunday, December 22, 2024
Russia’s Goal is to Erase all Ukrainians from Human Memory
Put aside Putin’s untrue
explanations about why Russia again invaded Ukraine. In reality, Putin’s sacred
mission is to annihilate all living Ukrainians from human memory.
This war of Russia’s that it’s
been waging for more than 1,000 days has only one goal: to subjugate the people,
turn future generations of Ukrainians into docile Russians, remove the border
between Ukraine and Russia, and rub out all memory of a nation known as
Ukrainian.
History is replete with examples
of Moscow’s tsars, commissars or today’s dictators trying to do this.
It’s comparable to what Hitler
hoped to do with Jews.
Since this latest iteration of
Russia’s aggression against Ukraine began in February 2022, its brutality has
been well documented. It has been detailed at the United Nations, international
organizations, and the capitals of free-world countries.
Unarmed civilians have been
summarily killed in their homes, churches, hospitals, schools; others on the
street waiting for food parcels; children have been raped and murdered, or forcibly
taken to Russia from their living or dead parents. The list of war crimes
screams to high heaven for retribution.
The record also includes the
sudden execution of Ukrainian soldiers who have been forced to surrender, thus
becoming prisoners of war. None of this matters to Russian cutthroats.
Last week the BBC published an
article detailing that Russia is executing “more and more” Ukrainian POWs.
You may recall the heartless
fate of Ukrainian sniper Oleksandr Matsievsky, who was killed after digging
his own grave while taking his last drag of a cigarette, and proudly declaring
to his captors “Glory to Ukraine.”
The BBC observed that Oleksandr Matsievsky
is one of many Ukrainian combatants who were killed in violation of
international norms that protect prisoners of war. International humanitarian
law, particularly the Third Geneva Convention, offers
protection to prisoners of war, and executing them is a war crime.
The BBC wrote that in October on 2024,
nine captured Ukrainian soldiers were shot dead by Russian forces in Kursk
region. Ukrainian prosecutors are investigating the case including
a photo showing half-naked bodies lying on the ground. This photo was enough
for one of the victims, drone operator Ruslan Holubenko, to be identified by
his parents. His frantic mother recognized her son by his underwear that she
had bought for him.
“The list of executions goes on. Ukrainian
prosecutors are investigating reports of beheadings and a sword being used to kill a Ukrainian soldier with his
hands tied behind his back. In another instance, a video showed 16 Ukrainian soldiers apparently being
lined up and then mowed down with automatic gunfire after emerging from a woods
to surrender,” the article states.
Some of the executions were filmed by
Russian cutthroats themselves, while others were observed by Ukrainian drones
hovering above. The killings captured on such videos usually take place in
woods or fields lacking distinctive features, which makes confirming their
exact location difficult. BBC Verify said it has been able to confirm in
several cases – such as one beheading – that the victims wear Ukrainian
uniforms and that the videos are recent.
“The upward trend is very clear, very
obvious,” Yuri Belousov, the head of the War Department at the Ukrainian
Prosecutor-General’s Office, was quoted as saying.
“Executions became systemic from November
last year and have continued throughout all of this year. Sadly, their number
has been particularly on the rise this summer and autumn. This tells us that
they are not isolated cases. They are happening across vast areas and they have
clear signs of being part of a policy – there is evidence that instructions to
this effect are being issued.”
Rachel Denber, deputy director of the
Europe and Central Asia Division at Human Rights Watch, told BBC there is no
shortage of evidence supporting allegations of Ukrainian prisoners of war being
executed by Russian troops. According to her, impunity plays a key part, and
the Russian army has some serious questions to answer.
“What instructions do these units have,
either formally or informally from their commanders? Are their commanders being
quite clear about what the Geneva Conventions say about the treatment of
prisoners of war? What are Russian military commanders telling their units
about their conduct? What steps is the chain of command taking to investigate
these instances? And if higher ups are not investigating, or not taking steps
to prevent that conduct, are they aware that they too are criminally liable and
can be held accountable?” she ponders.
According to Human Rights Watch, since
the full-scale invasion began in February 2022 the Russian forces have committed
“a litany of violations, including those which should be investigated as war
crimes or crimes against humanity.”
Keep these crimes in mind when next to
encounter a Russian diplomat on the streets of New York or Washington, DC.
Thursday, December 19, 2024
Soldiers or Civilians, ‘All Ukrainians Deserve to Die’ – Say Russians
You wouldn’t treat your own dog like this, but Russians have historically maligned Ukrainians like the Nazis did – regarding them as untermensch who deserve to die.
Ambassador Sergiy Kyslytsya, permanent representative of Ukraine to the United Nations, speaking in the Third Committee on December 17, 2024, about “Human rights situations and reports of special rapporteurs and representatives,” described the inhuman, horrific conditions facing Ukrainians in their own land as Russian cutthroats pursue their war against Ukraine.
Kyslytsya recounted to the representatives of the member-states one civilian’s description of how insecure the lives of everyday Ukrainians are: "They (the Russians) don’t care whether you’re a soldier or a civilian—what matters is that you’re Ukrainian, which means, in their eyes, you deserve to die." The Ukrainian diplomat pointed out that the woman, sharing her harrowing experiences of living under Russian occupation, is a resident of Rubizhne, a city in the Luhansk oblast of eastern Ukraine, situated on the left side of the Donets River.
“While she and her family were fortunate to escape to Ukrainian-controlled territory, her testimony reflects the grim reality faced by millions of Ukrainians in areas under Russian control,” Kyslytsya said. “This is not an isolated story. It is part of a well-documented and deliberate policy by Russia to terrorize and dehumanize Ukrainians.”
He cited another example from a brochure titled “Practical Recommendations to the Participant in Combat Actions” published on December 12, 2022, on the official website of the Russian Ministry of Defense under the title “Who Are Ukrainians?”
“[…] Someday, … they [Ukrainians] will become Russians again. But for now, they are enemies—cruel and treacherous. This means that we need to beat them until they put their hands up, without stopping, until our victory,” he read.
Kyslytsya pointed out that these quotes highlight “the atmosphere of fear, repression, and lawlessness imposed on Ukrainians under Russian occupation.” Since 2014, when Russia seized the eastern regions of Luhansk and Donetsk, the temporarily occupied territories have become “zones of impunity, where gross human rights violations and war crimes are systematic and pervasive.”
Fortunately, he noted, unlike previous Russian wars against Ukraine, Russia’s war crimes in this one are thoroughly documented.
“This extensive documentation will undoubtedly support the pursuit of justice and ensure that all perpetrators are held accountable. I therefore urge all alleged war criminals not to place false hope in evading responsibility, but to actively cooperate with investigations and provide their testimonies,” he said.
Reports from the United Nations, including the International Commission of Inquiry, and findings from other international monitors credibly document Russia’s widespread and deliberate perpetration of war crimes, crimes against humanity, and gross human rights violations and abuses.
“These include summary executions, enforced disappearances, torture, sexual and gender-based violence, and inhumane treatment of civilian detainees and prisoners of war,” Kyslytsya detailed, specifically pointing out that “These atrocities are not random acts of violence, but part of a calculated and systematic policy aimed at erasing Ukrainian identity—obliterating cultural and historical markers while forcibly indoctrinating those who remain.”
He explained that the Ukrainian civilian population has no recourse because those who “dare to oppose face arbitrary detention, torture, extrajudicial executions, and the additional threat of having their children taken away or deported to Russia.”
To offer some form of solace and help, Kyslytsya said the Ukrainian delegation is proposing a draft resolution titled “Situation of human rights in the temporarily occupied territories of Ukraine, including the Autonomous Republic of Crimea and the city of Sevastopol.”
According to him, the resolution aims to maintain the General Assembly and the UN’s focused attention on the dire human rights situation and provide essential protection for those affected, particularly the thousands of Ukrainian children forcibly deported or displaced by Russia. It calls on the Russia to immediately and unconditionally return all Ukrainian children, including those unlawfully adopted or placed in foster care. Ukraine and its partners will continue to fight for the safe return of every child.
“The resolution serves as a practical tool for the UN for ongoing monitoring and reporting on the human rights situation in the temporarily occupied territory, providing a crucial mechanism for accountability,” he said.
However, Kyslytsya added, “the only way to guarantee full respect for human rights and fundamental freedoms for the residents of these territories is their de-occupation from Russia. Restoring Ukraine’s territorial integrity within its internationally recognized borders is not only a matter of justice for Ukrainians but also essential for European and global security.”
In other words, liberating Ukrainian lands currently held illegally by Russia and allowing the nation to live freely.
He thanked the 49 member-states that have co-sponsored the draft and called on all “responsible” member-states to stand with Ukraine by voting in favor of the draft resolution.
Despite the world’s hope for negotiations to end the war, in the words of the late Israeli prime minister Gold Meier, how can you talk to someone who wants you dead while you want to live.
Sunday, November 24, 2024
Regional Security Alliance—Its Time has Come
Caught in the death throes of Russia’s historic unprovoked war
against Ukraine with its concurrent threat against Europe, the ministers of defense
and representatives of the Northern Group of European nations voiced their strong
support for the establishment of a regional security alliance to fend off the real
possibility of Russia’s invasion against them.
The government representatives meeting in Denmark reaffirmed
on November 20 their steadfast support for Ukraine and their commitment to
continue and develop Northern Europe’s military assistance to Ukraine and to
strengthen industrial cooperation. The coalition includes representatives from
the Baltic States, Denmark, Sweden, Finland, Norway, Iceland, Britain, Germany,
Poland, and the Netherlands.
According to their post-meeting statement, based on an
assessment of Ukraine’s strategic challenges and current and future needs from the
Minister of Defense of Ukraine Rustem Umerov and Minister of Strategic
Industries Herman Smetanin, the ministers presented and discussed ways to
enhance the military support to Ukraine.
The ministers agreed to reinforce and advance the military
support to Ukraine, including through the involvement of Northern European and
Ukrainian defense industries. The participants noted that this will further
bolster Ukraine’s industrial and technological capacities as well as the
potential of European defense industry. Participants reaffirmed that Russia, as
it has demonstrated in Ukraine, remains the most significant and direct threat
to Allies’ security.
Despite several false starts in the past decade, hopefully this
effort will be finally successful. We have been advocating for the establishment
of such a coalition since 2014, when we wrote about then Foreign Minister of
Ukraine Pavlo Klimkin’s idea of creating what he called a Coalition of Freedom.
Outraged by the Russian invasion of his homeland, Klimkin
proposed the Coalition of Freedom to defend democracy and Western values in a
troubled world. “It is about security for everyone,” said Klimkin. He opined
that Ukraine is confronting a threat any nation can face, adding “we need
a network of security.”
Klimkin added: "We are in the process of the fight for
freedom, for European values and for Western values and we will definitely pull
it off."
In February of 2022 Russia fulfilled its destiny and everyone’s
fears of invading Ukraine.
Then in 2023 we cheered when the presidents of Poland, Andrzej Duda, Lithuania,
Gitanas Nauseda, Ukraine, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, convened a meeting in Lviv, on January
11, where they signed a joint statement of the presidents of the Lublin Triangle.
“The Presidents of Poland, Andrzej Duda, Lithuania, Gitanas Nauseda,
Ukraine, Volodymyr Zelenskyy. A joint statement of the presidents of the Lublin
Triangle has been signed in Lviv today,” the Office of the President of Poland had
said on Twitter.
This military, security and commercial agreement was certainly
designed to safeguard the needs of the countries involved. The joint declaration
signed by the presidents of Ukraine, Lithuania, and Poland following the second
summit of the Lublin Triangle supports holding the Global Peace Formula Summit,
creating a special international tribunal to prosecute Russia, giving Ukraine EU
and NATO membership prospects, and continuing security assistance to Ukrainians.
The task and goal of helping Ukraine in its war with Russia was placed high on the
list of the agreement’s mission.
Earlier, the three x-captive nations of Ukraine, Lithuania
and Poland announced the mobilization of the “Hetman Konstantyn Ostrohskiy”
Lithuanian-Polish-Ukrainian Brigade (LITPOLUKR).
According to military media and the brigade’s website, this
unit represents a new era of multilateral security cooperation in Europe.
Lithuanian, Polish, and Ukrainian efforts to bolster European stability in the
wake of Russia’s destabilizing invasion of Ukraine led to the creation of the
unit in 2015.
The brigade’s website notes that each participating country
contributes an infantry battalion, staff for the headquarters in Lublin, and
specialized smaller units, to create a brigade between 3.5-4,000 soldiers.
One of the most vital contemporary security issues is the
ongoing hostile global threat posed by Russia and its war against Ukraine. It
has certainly boiled over from a two-country war to a significant regional war
with the active participation of North Korea and arms supplier Iran. Some,
among them Ukrainian Gen. Valery Zaluzhnyi, former commander-in-chief of the
Armed Forces of Ukraine, have said that humanity is witnessing the start of
World War Three.
At the Denmark summit last week, the ministers emphasized
that there can be no peace talks without Ukraine’s participation and they agreed
to follow up urgently at a meeting in Ukraine in early 2025. They also
discussed the threats and challenges to the security of Eastern borders of the
alliance.
While most of the free world displays varying degrees of support
for Ukraine, especially in view of Donald Trump’s election victory as the next
President of the United States of America, the countries of Eastern Europe, the
former captive nations of the Russian prison nations, maintain a strong unified
position about the individual and collective danger of living on the border
with Russia. They understand that by reason of geography and Russia’s historical,
insatiable imperial appetite they are in daily jeopardy.
Furthermore, these countries’ leaders use every occasion to
tell the world that the fate that has befallen Ukraine awaits other countries across
Eastern Europe and beyond, including the United States. The x-captive nations have
urged the West to stand up to Russia’s aggression and not surrender to or else Europe
could descend into a major war for the first time since the end of World War II
in May 1945 as we are witnessing now.
A regional mini-NATO, this latest security coalition, an
updated Anti-Bolshevik Bloc of Nations (ABN), would noticeably promote and
safeguard collective security against Russia.
Friday, November 22, 2024
World War Three is upon us Thanks to Russia
World War Three is upon us Thanks to Russia
Ukraine’s former military commander in chief said the direct involvement of Russia and Russian allies in their unprovoked war against Ukraine means that World War Three has officially begun.
“I believe that in 2024 we can absolutely believe that the Third World War has begun,” Gen. Valery Zaluzhny warned Thursday, November 21, according to Politico .
Ask anyone: who are the three greatest threats to world peace & security? Answer: Russia, Iran & North Korea. Who is fighting all three, tryin to save itself and the world? Answer: Ukraine.
Moscow is seeking to subjugate all of Ukraine, from the Polish border to the river Don, before the free world wakes up to its evil designs. Fortunately President Biden has approved Kyiv using long-range missiles against targets in Russia. Great Britain also actively supports this. But where are the others?
As with World War Two, an international alliance of free-world countries was needed to defeat Nazi Germany, so too today a global coalition is needed to defeat and subdue Russia.
The free world must not lose Ukraine to Russia—again.
Monday, November 11, 2024
Ahead of One Thousand Days
Seven days after the 2024 Presidential Elections in the USA and
10 days short of 1,000 in the latest iteration of Moscow’s war against Ukraine and
Russia still hasn’t let up on bombing Ukrainian cities and homes and killing
innocent, unarmed civilians.
President-elect Donald Trump campaigned on a platform of not
caring whether Ukraine lives or dies and his buddy Vladimir Putin is taking full
advantage of this dangerous, anti-Ukrainian political climate. The incoming
president apparently isn’t going to complain or threaten Moscow into
submission. President Biden, fortunately, has declared his intention to help
Ukraine’s war effort as long as he is in office but that will only last some
two and a half months. After that, it could be smooth sailing for Russian
cutthroats in uniforms. They could continue bombing nonmilitary targets and
killing civilians without reproach.
In the meantime President-elect Trump will be fulfilling his
promise to end the war within more or less 72 hours without consideration for
the lost, dead or subjugated people of Ukraine. After all, as the new foreign
policy experts said, the United States doesn’t care about the permanent losses.
The USA only cares about ending the war and returning to its interpretation of peace.
This is a perfect example of what happens when ignorant, negligent officials
hold the reins of foreign policy. The 1000-year history, heritage, culture, and
people of Ukraine are meaningless so long as Putin and his heathens have
achieved their peace. That word and goal are becoming an insult.
On Monday, yes, the one that boasts 11/11/11, Russian glide
bombs, drones and a ballistic missile smashed into cities in southern and
eastern Ukraine, officials said, killing at least six civilians and injuring
about 30 others.
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy was quoted as saying
that Russia recently intensified strikes that have long tormented civilian
areas, in an apparent effort to unnerve Ukrainians and wear down their willingness
to keep up a war that is approaching its 1,000-day milestone.
“Every day, every night, Russia commits the same terror,”
Zelenskyy said in a post on the Telegram messaging app. “Except that an increasing
number of civilian objects are becoming targets.” These Russian war crimes are
persisting regardless of who is in the Oval Office. We can only guess what they’ll
look like after Trump takes the Oath of Office.
The Ukrainian army intends to expand its mobile units, which
are primarily tasked with shooting down drones, in the regions most frequently
targeted by Russian strikes, Zelenskyy said on Telegram.
Zelenskyy also said that Ukraine is working on producing its
own much needed glide bombers as part of a domestic missile program.
Zelenskyy said Ukraine would conduct a “substantial
reinforcement” in areas near the Donetsk settlements of Kurakhove and Pokrovsk,
where Ukraine’s army is in danger of being overrun.
Zelenskyy added that Ukraine is holding its positions in Russia’s
Kursk border region, where Western and Ukrainian officials say Russia is being
helped by thousands of newly arrived North Korean troops. He said Russia has
deployed some 50,000 troops to Kursk. Most if not all of these murderers come
from the non-Russian peoples of Russian-occupied Asia.
Also in Donetsk, near the recently captured settlement of
Hirnyk, the Russians have damaged a dam at the Kurakhove reservoir, according
to regional Gov. Vadym Filashkin. This is the second dam in Ukraine that could
fail after the collapse infamous Kakhovka dam in June 2023 that killed hundreds
of people. Russia is guilty of that environmental catastrophe as well as this
impending one.
The local water level in the Vovcha River has already risen
by 1.2 meters, though no homes have been affected, and possible flooding
threatens both the Donetsk and Dnipropetrovsk regions, he said.
“We continue to monitor the water level in the river and are
prepared for any developments,” Filaskin said.
The major cities struck Monday by Russia are close to the
approximately 1,000-kilometer (600-mile) front line.
Russian drones hammered the southern city of Mykolaiv,
killing five people and injuring a 45-year-old woman, local authorities said.
Around two dozen people sought psychological help following the attack that
damaged houses and stores, officials said.
Mykolaiv, about 60 kilometers (40 miles) northwest of the
front line in the Kherson region, frequently comes under Russian attack.
An overnight attack on Zaporizhzhia, also in the south, with
three powerful glide bombs killed one person and injured 21, including a
4-year-old boy, Ukraine’s National Police said. The strikes partially destroyed
a two-story apartment building and damaged a dormitory.
A five-story apartment building in Kryvyi Rih, Zelenskyy’s
hometown in central Ukraine, was hit by a Russian ballistic missile, injuring
at least eight people. The missile destroyed all five stories in one part of
the building, said Oleksandr Vikul, head of Kryviy Rih Military Administration.
Meanwhile, Ukraine’s intelligence agency claimed in a
statement it destroyed a Russian Mi-24 assault helicopter parked at the Klin-5
airfield in the Moscow region.
Trump team’s focus on peace at any cost will not bring
lasting peace to Ukraine and the region. All of the former captive nations
bordering Ukraine believe any concession to Moscow would imperil their
existence, forcing them into an updated Russian prison of nations.
Regardless of who’s in the Oval Office, Republican or
Democrat, if Washington doesn’t embrace the conviction that the nations of
Eastern Europe have an intrinsic right to life, liberty and the pursuit of
happiness that must be safeguarded and Russia threatens that belief, then no
amount of soldiers and weapons will ensure their peaceful, sovereign existence.
Every Iranian-made Russian missile that hits a Ukrainian
city is courtesy of Mr. Trump.
Every Iranian-made Russian drone that hits a Ukrainian apartment
building killing civilians is courtesy of Mr. Trump.
Saturday, November 9, 2024
With Trump in White House, Ukraine Stands to Suffer at the Hands of Russia
Donald Trump’s second victorious election
to the White House last week was both historic and foreboding.
As the world waits for what a convicted
felon would do as the chief executive of the United States and moral leader of
the free world, Ukrainians around the world waited with trepidation to see if
the new White House team would in fact betray Ukraine. After all, Trump did not
express admiration for Ukraine as he did for Putin and the Kremlin.
The answer came on Thursday, November 7,
just two days after Election Day. Up until then, the current Administration
didn’t offer any qualifications or prerequisites for its support for Ukraine.
It was adhering to the premise stated two years ago by President Biden that
America would support Ukraine against Russia as long as it takes.
The former captive nations cheered
America. Old Europe probably moaned but complied because it understood that it
could be the next captive region.
US Cabinet departments until recently
echoed this steadfast support for Ukraine.
And then came one shocking revelation.
The US will support President Volodymyr
Zelenskyy if he decides to start negotiations with Moscow, State Department
spokesperson Matthew Miller said during a Nov. 7 briefing.
“It's not something that it is
appropriate for us or for any other country to push him into. And we would
support him in any process to try and ensure a just and lasting peace, but that
is ultimately his decision, not ours,” Miller said.
Miller also stressed that, per the UN
Charter, Ukraine has the right to maintain its borders, territorial
integrity, and sovereignty.
He added that the US has “seen no
indication” that Putin plans to “drop his demand to continue to gobble
up Ukrainian territory.”
“I’m sure there’s a negotiation that
Putin would accept where he gets everything that he wants, and Ukraine gets
nothing that it is entitled to under the law, but that is not a negotiation
that President Zelenskyy has been interested in, nor should it be,”
he added.
In political nomenclature, hinting at a hypothetical
conclusion is synonymous with expressing support for it in anticipation of its
realization. Miller’s clarification is enlightening only for Putin as he’s
waiting for an unraveling of America’s uncompromisingly strong support for
Ukraine. The State Department’s bureaucrat has open Pandora’s door to needless
speculation about something that Zelenskyy has disavowed since the first days
of the latest iteration of Moscow’s war against Ukraine.
Moscow now as the opportunity to convince
all of Washington that the world exists in a new reality and that Ukraine and
its ardent former captive nations allies must follow the beat of this drummer. Russian
Security Council Secretary Sergei Shoigu said two days after Trump became president-elect,
that the West should accept that Russia was winning its war against Ukraine and
negotiate an end to it. “Now, when the situation in the theater of military
operations is not in favor of the Kyiv regime, the West is faced with a choice –
to continue financing it and destroying the Ukrainian population or to recognize
the current realities and start negotiating,” Shoigu said.
A senior advisor to Trump echoed the president-elect’s
version of a new pro-Russian realpolitik, saying that the incoming
administration will focus on achieving peace in Ukraine rather than enabling
the country to gain back territory occupied by Russia. Bryan Lanza, a
Republican Party strategist, told the BBC the Trump administration would ask
Zelenskyy for his version of a “realistic vision for peace.”
What if the allies in World War II had
insisted that for the sake of peace, the Poles and the French surrender their
historical lands that were annexed by the Nazis?
Lanza opined “And if President Zelenskyy
comes to the table and says, well we can only have peace if we have Crimea, he
shows to us that he’s not serious. Crimea is gone.”
Lanza, Trump’s political adviser since
his 2016 campaign, didn’t mention areas of eastern Ukraine, but he said regaining
Crimea from Russia was unrealistic and “not the goal of the United States.”
“When Zelenskyy says we will only stop
this fighting, there will only be peace once Crimea is returned, we’ve got news
for President Zelenskyy: Crimea is gone,” he told the BBC World Service’s
Weekend program. “And if that is your priority of getting Crimea back and
having American soldiers fight to get Crimea back, you're on your own.”
Lanza said he had tremendous respect for
the Ukrainian people, whose “hearts are made of lions.” But he said the US
priority was "peace and to stop the killing.”
This dangerous, anti-Ukrainian point of
view is only a step from promoting the notion that Kyiv should also surrender to
Moscow Luhansk and Donetsk for the sake of an elusive peace. Furthermore, where
do the incoming foreign policy experts draw the line in their panicky pursuit
of peace: Kyiv, Lviv, Ternopil, Krakow?
The former captive nations as well as besieged
Ukraine believe that giving in to Russian pressure is a fatal mistake. Nothing
will stop Moscow from pursuing its manifest destiny to subjugate all of Ukraine
and leaders of Eastern European countries, who know the meaning of so-called Russian
liberation, agree with that mortal eventuality.
Zelenskyy on many occasions has said that
the idea of any concessions to Russia is unacceptable for Ukraine, and he
considers it suicide for the whole of Europe.
“And some of those present here strongly
advocated that Ukraine should make ‘concessions’ to Putin. This is unacceptable
for Ukraine and suicidal for the entire Europe. So what's next? Should Europe
hope for Kim Jong Un's sympathy that he will also leave Europe alone? No strong
leader who has helped build a united, strong and peaceful Europe could even
imagine that.”
At the same time, he correctly advised
that the tried and true concept of “peace through strength” has repeatedly
proved its realism and effectiveness. “Now it peace through strength is needed
once again. And there should be no illusions that you can buy a just peace by
showing weakness or surrendering any European positions or the positions of any
European country.”
There are hundreds of thousands brave
Ukrainian men and women in uniforms on the eastern frontline of Ukraine pondering
if they’ll survive the winter without suitable weapons and warm apparel. Both
are dependent on foreign budgets and funding for both is stalled. Monies even
for humanitarian projects in the USA such as U4U for Ukrainian refugees are again
stuck in a bureaucratic morass.
Fortunately, the Biden administration is
planning to rush the last of more than $6 billion remaining in Ukraine security
assistance out the door by Inauguration Day, as the outgoing team prepares for
the weapons flow to end once President-elect Donald Trump takes office.
The plan, according to two administration
officials who were granted anonymity to discuss internal matters, is the only
option the White House has to keep sending equipment to Ukraine to fight off
continued Russian offensives. But the problems are immense. It normally takes
months for munitions and equipment to get to Ukraine after an aid package is
announced, so anything rolled out in the coming weeks would likely not fully
arrive until well into the Trump administration, and the next commander in
chief could halt the shipments before they’re on the ground.
One big holdup to pushing that aid out the
door quickly is that the US can only send equipment already on its shelves.
While the money allocated reimburses the Pentagon for that equipment, it is
dependent on how fast new artillery shells and weapons can be produced or
contracted to replace them.
“We have been sending whatever industry
can produce each month, but the problem is you can only send these things as
they are produced,” said Mark Cancian, a former Department of Defense budget
official now at the Center for Strategic and International Studies. “The
administration could dip into the stockpiles and send equipment more quickly,
but it’s unclear the Pentagon would want to do that since it would affect its
own readiness.”
During his
campaign, Trump said he will “not give a penny to Ukraine.” Part of his plan to
end the war “in one day” – he is overdue as of today – is that he would the
Ukrainian president no more. You got to make a deal.” But if Russia is allowed
to conquer and subjugate Ukraine, it would only be a matter of which democracy
gets colonized next by the neighboring dictatorship: Poland, the Baltic States,
Moldova, or Taiwan. This is an important point, overlooked by the president-elect.
Ukraine, for all of its crimes, misdemeanors and faults, is still a democratic
country and Trump is willing to send it into Putin’s waiting arms.
In addition to military viciousness, Russia,
through its relentless violence, has thousands of unarmed civilians in Ukraine
and displaced millions. “It has razed Ukraine’s infrastructure and is
threatening global food security. Russia undermines our collective work
to advance economic security in the OSCE region. Russia’s forces have
waged a systematic campaign against Ukraine’s agricultural sector,
destabilizing global food markets. Moscow has sought to break Ukraine’s
exports at every link of the supply chain, whether destroying the food itself
or the means to produce and ship it. Russia has set fire to fields, mined
seabeds and farmland, torn up roads, bombed grain silos, and reportedly
rendered millions of hectares of Ukraine’s farmland unusable,” said US Chargé
d’Affaires Katherine Brucker to the Permanent Council, Vienna on November 7.
Even as the final votes are still being
counted, Russia resumed it brutal missile and drone attacks against Ukrainian
cities.
Russian missiles, bombs and drones battered
three regions of Ukraine in targeted nighttime attacks, officials said Friday, November
8, as Russia mounts an intensified aerial campaign that Ukrainian officials say
they need more Western help to counter.
Since the war began almost three
years ago following Russia’s full-scale invasion of its neighbor, the Russian
military has repeatedly used its superior air power to destroy civilian
targets across Ukraine. More than 10,000 Ukrainian civilians have been
killed in the conflict, according to the United Nations.
A 500-kilogram (about 1,000 pounds) glide
bomb severely damaged a high-rise apartment building in Kharkiv, Ukraine’s
second-largest city, in the middle of the night, regional Gov. Oleh Syniehubov
said. At least 25 people, including an infant, were injured, he said.
Russia is
unleashed two days earlier near-constant waves of long-range drone strikes
on Ukrainian cities as its troops advance in the east. President Volodymyr
Zelenskyy warned Moscow was firing about 10 times as many drones as it did last
fall. Missiles and drones for the most part are being manufactured in Iran,
which together with Russia and North Korea are waging a singularly devastating
war against Ukraine.
As well as drastically increasing the
number of strikes, Russia has begun to fire decoy drones without warheads to
overwhelm Ukraine’s air defenses. Decoy drones carry a “3D-printed ball wrapped
in foil” to imitate the warhead of an Iran-made Shahed-136 drone, Yuriy Ihnat,
a spokesperson for Ukraine’s air defenses, told CNN. These cheaper drones
confuse Ukraine’s air defenses, which may shoot down decoy drones instead of
ones carrying a lethal warhead. Decoy drones now account for as many as half of
all Russian drones fired at Ukraine, Ihnat said.
The x-captive nations are still holding
fast to their commitment to help Ukraine overcome Russian aggression. For example,
the fundamentals of Estonian foreign policy have not changed because of the
American president elections. After all, Putin hasn’t changed his
objectives. He’s still waging a war of aggression with the aim of controlling
the whole of Ukraine and creating a buffer zone in Europe, pushing NATO’s
military activities back to the pre-1997 borders, which makes this an
existential issue for us.
The Estonian foreign minister, Margus
Tsahkna, on November 6 issued a statement, saying that Trump’s victory does not
change Estonia’s foreign policy aims.
“Donald Trump’s victory in the
presidential elections of the United States of America does not change
Estonia’s foreign policy aims and actions towards the United States because the
foundations of Estonia’s foreign policy have not changed,” the foreign minister
said. “Russia still wants to destroy Ukraine’s sovereignty and dismantle the
security architecture based on the European Union and NATO. Our task is to make
sure that Russia does not achieve its goal, and a just and long-lasting peace
is achieved in Europe.”
Many in Ukraine fear Trump’s return to the White House
would leave Eastern Europe vulnerable.
Fewer than 5% of American
voters consider foreign policy a top issue, according to polls, suggesting that
Russia’s war on Ukraine has not played a central role in the campaigns of
either Harris or Trump.
Nevertheless, Trump
has promised to “end the war in 24 hours” without providing details on how he
intends to do so.
Ahead of the final US
presidential election results, Euronews spoke to several Ukrainians about their
thoughts on the outcome and its potential impact on their future.
“I’m really scared,”
said Denys, a Ukrainian journalist, in an interview with Euronews. He is not
alone. A Ukrainian woman living in Poland told Euronews that, for her, a Trump
victory would feel like “the end of the world.”
Poland,
which fears Russian aggression as much as Ukraine and other East European
countries do, announced last week plans to invest 3 billion zlotys ($750
million) to boost ammunition production, according to a bill published late on
Monday, aiming to ensure it has sufficient supplies in the event of an attack
from Russia.
Since
Moscow launched its full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022, Poland has become
NATO’s biggest spender on defense in relation to the size of its economy, with
the 2025 budget allocating 4.7% of gross domestic product for the purpose.
“The
draft act aims to create opportunities to provide financing for activities
aimed at increasing the capacity for ammunition production,” the bill says,
with a particular need to expand large-caliber production to bolster the
potential of the Polish Armed Forces.
If
all else fails, as we’ve written many times in the past, Ukraine and the former
captive nations must build a strong multilateral military and political alliance,
a mini-NATO, to protect themselves against ongoing Russian aggression.