Agree to Disagree
with Russian Aggression
Ukrainian Americans are so eager to hear words of support
for Ukraine from the White House that we’ll accept double negatives, tidbits of
opinions, Cabinet officials’ backing and new disclaimers.
Unfortunately, they’re all meaningless unless President Trump says so.
As the situation stands today, some two weeks ahead of the
US-Russia summit in Helsinki, Finland, the Russo-Ukraine
War of 2014-18 is raging, Crimea and Donbas are occupied, Russia is
violating ceasefire agreements, and Ukrainian soldiers and civilians are being
killed.
Will the United States continue not recognizing Russia’s
illegal occupation and annexation of Crimea?
I can’t say for sure.
What I can say is that the White House has adopted a new
foreign policy strategy aimed at scaring Moscow, safeguarding the former
captive nations, and reaffirming its role as the protector of the free world: Agree to disagree.
That expression first surfaced a couple of days ago.
White House national security adviser John Bolton admitted that he discussed Russia’s illegal annexation
of Crimea with Russian fuhrer Vladimir
Putin.
Bolton, who met with Putin in Moscow on June 27, told CBS’s
Face The Nation on July 1 that “President Putin was pretty clear with me about
it and my response was we’re going to have to agree to disagree on Ukraine.”
Russia says
aggression, US says they speak Russian.
That’s updated brinkmanship. Putin was clear and resolute
about Crimea remaining an occupied possession of Russia while Bolton not only
blinked but he shut his eyes and stuck his head into the sand, hoping the
problem will disappear.
The next iteration of this bold strategy was the next day by
Susan Sanders.
Sanders, in her regular exchange with reporters, repeated
that the White House rejects Russia’s seizure of Crimea from Ukraine in 2014,
and US sanctions will remain in place until this is reversed.
“We do not recognize Russia’s attempt to annex Crimea. We agree to disagree and the sanctions
against Russia remain in place until Russia returns the peninsula to Ukraine,” Sanders
told reporters.
So what does agree to disagree really mean? We agree that 2+2=4 but not always. We
agree that today is Tuesday except when it isn’t? Russia agrees to do what it
wishes to do anywhere in the world and the US is free to disagree with it? The
US may or may not agree with Russia’s invasion, illegal occupation and
annexation of Crimea and Russia certainly disagrees with Washington’s point of
view and doesn’t care what it is.
Ukraine and the other x-captive nations that live or die on whispers
of US support must certainly feel encouraged by such a myopic policy.
Perhaps President Trump ahead of the summit has personally voiced
his firm commitment about Crimea’s return to Ukraine?
Sadly, not.
Trump has been vague on the issue when pressed by reporters last
week. “We’re going to have to see,”
he said.
See what? If Putin will allow the American President to support
Ukraine’s territorial integrity and sovereignty or not?
On June 29, Trump declined to rule out recognizing Russia’s annexation
of Ukraine’s Crimean Peninsula.
Asked by reporters on Air Force One whether reports about
him dropping Washington’s longstanding opposition to the annexation were true,
Trump said, “We’re going to have to see.” He didn’t flatly deny such an
eventuality.
Trump gave a similar answer when asked whether he would
consider lifting US sanctions on Russia that were imposed over the annexation.
The President pointed out the goal of his upcoming summit is
to improve Washington-Moscow relations, which are at a post-cold war low, but
apparently not forcing Russia to stand down with its occupation of Crimea and
war in eastern Ukraine is not among his goals.
“We'll see what
Russia does,” Trump observed when pushed by reporters.
For his part, Bolton earlier ruled out the possibility of
abandoning Washington’s opposition to the annexation. “That’s not the position
of the United States,” he told CBS on July 1. “I think the president often says
‘we'll see’ to show that he’s willing to talk to foreign leaders about a range
of issues and hear their perspective,” Bolton said. Would he say “we’ll see” to
discussing world affairs with Hitler in order to hear his perspective on
invading Poland and France?
In other words, Trump has told Putin that he’s willing to
discuss everything for the sake of better relations with Moscow while the
Russian dictator said they can discuss “all other issues” except Crimea.
Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov told reporters that Putin
has “repeatedly stated and explained that Crimea cannot be and will never be on
the agenda because it is an inseparable part of Russia.”
By agreeing not to discuss Crimea and Donbas with Putin, Trump is giving into Putin’s demands
that the war in Ukraine and Russian aggression are none of America’s business –
Moscow’s sphere of influence. Russia will continue to try to re-subjugate
Ukraine and Washington has to accept it or agree to disagree.
Accepting that Crimea will never return to Ukrainian control,
as Putin insists, would be a major concession to Russia, which is being punished
by international trade sanctions over its actions. EU leaders this week extended
sanctions for another six more months due to Moscow’s continuing war with
Ukraine. So foreign policy pundits see this combination of interests as
bartering chips.
The Helsinki summit is stirring nervousness among foreign
policy experts. I have tweeted that the summit in Finland may repeat the infamous Yalta meeting of 1945 and
result in Washington’s silent recognition of Russia’s plans for the re-subjugation
of Ukraine and the x-captive nations.
In the past few weeks alone, Trump has called for Russia to
be readmitted to the Group of 7 industrial powers, suggested Moscow has a
legitimate claim to Crimea because a lot of Russian speakers live there and
continued sowing doubts about whether Moscow meddled in the 2016 presidential
election — or if it did, whether the sabotage actually benefited Hillary
Clinton.
Is this an appropriate time for a summit with Moscow? Previous
summits were conducted during the so-called cold war. Today, Russia is involved
in a real shooting war with Ukraine. Putin is currently leading several wars at
once – in Ukraine, Syria and a hybrid one against the West. He has been
declared an international terrorist in some quarters after the verdict in the
Litvinenko case, the shooting down of MH17, the poisoning of Skripal and so on,
said Deutsche Welle commentators.
The World Cup and the upcoming summit are PR triumphs for
Russia that legitimize Putin and pave the way for expanding its war in Ukraine.
Remember that two weeks after the end of the 2014 Olympics in Sochi, Russia
invaded Ukrainian Crimea. Obviously, Russia doesn’t deserve such positive
public relations and a renewed opportunity for aggression.
While a handful of GOP senators have travelled to Moscow to
kowtow before Russian leaders,
Senate Foreign Relations Committee Chairman Bob Corker (R-TN) sent a warning to President
Trump, pointing out why he shouldn’t recognize unlawful annexation of Crimea.
“Recognizing Crimea as part of Russia would undermine the
rules-based international order that was created with US leadership and has
caused democracy to thrive around the world and made America a safer home for
our citizens,” Corker said in a tweet, without directly mentioning Trump.
Indeed, the global community operates in a rules-based international order that
Moscow has been violating with impunity for decades.
America’s latest foreign policy tenets of agreeing to
disagree, proactive ambivalence, wishful naiveté, or ostrich optimism will not
preserve peace in our time. Russia,
regardless of who occupies the Kremlin, must be convinced that its opposite in
the free world is resolute in defending the free world against any
encroachments.
Americans should write their elected officials, insisting
that Helsinki 2018 will not repeat Yalta 1945.
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