Russia’s 3rd
Front vs Ukraine:
Shots Heard ‘Round
the World
Russia’s hostile actions against Ukraine in the Sea of Azov last
week cannot be regarded as an isolated, disconnected act of aggression as many
foreign policy pundits have tended to imply in their regular ruminations,
wondering where this belligerence came from and where it will lead.
The latest Russian shots heard ‘round the world were unquestionably
connected to the Russo-Ukraine War of
2014-18 that Moscow launched two weeks after the conclusion of the 2014
Winter Olympics in Sochi, Russia. If the Russian invasion and illegal
occupation of Crimea and its war against Ukraine in the eastern oblasts weren’t
enough to prove Russia’s dangerous aggressive mindset, then this piracy on the
high seas should serve as another wake-up call for the free world.
World leaders are again confronted with a saber-rattling
Russia that has proclaimed in recent days accelerated conventional and nuclear re-militarization.
Peace and goodwill toward man will not be the hallmark of this year’s
Christmas.
The Kerch Strait incident is the newest, obvious example of
The Kremlin’s never-ending 1,000-year-old imperial mission to once and for all
subjugate Ukraine, to permanently shackle the country and nation to Moscow.
The attack could also signal the start of wider hostilities,
as a senior EU diplomat was quoted as telling EUobserver, to create what Vladimir Putin called in 2014 “Novorossiya” – the seizure of territory
connecting Russia-occupied Crimea and east Ukraine and cutting off Ukraine from
the Black Sea.
However, this iteration of Russian belligerence comes with
this difference. Russia has raucously demonstrated that it will lie in the face
of incontrovertible facts, and do whatever it wishes to do with arrogant impunity,
regardless of a global pushback. It will advance its manifest destiny in
defiance of global sanctions as it does everything in its power to resurrect
and reinforce the glory and might of its Holy Mother Russian Empire.
While the former captive nations have lived with that ominous
reality since the end of World War II, global leaders today do not enjoy the
luxury of disparaging that possibility by blindly continuing to suggest equal culpability,
glad hand Putin and meet with Russian officials.
In the wake of Russia’s firing upon three Ukrainian vessels
that were sailing in international waters, the Ukrainian Ministry of Defense
raised its Armed Forces’ war preparedness to the highest level and declared
martial law in a dozen northern, eastern and southern oblasts.
The world is facing the possibility of not only losing
Ukraine on its watch but also dealing with a more brazen, bellicose Russia.
At a UN Security Council meeting on Monday, November 26,
Russia was left out in the cold and it wasn’t fazed by being vilified. By supporting
Ukraine, the council members declined to accept its dishonest explanations as
they isolated Moscow.
Nonetheless, the Russian Deputy Permanent Representative Dmitry Polianskiy nonchalantly blamed Ukraine
for disrupting regional peace and security and accused it of banditry. He told
the Security Council members that Kyiv’s actions since the Revolution of
Dignity five years ago have been “fraught with dangerous consequences.” He blamed
the United States and other countries for encouraging Ukraine’s policies.
Polianskiy warned the international community that despite
the free world’s support for Ukraine, Russia has never caused the first blow
but it will repel any incursions on Russian territory and it knows how to protect
itself.
“The people of Crimea, like Russia’s other regions, are well
protected,” he asserted.
His most immoral, cynical affirmation was to say that the
Russian people love Ukrainians. Russians “believe in their wisdom and take them
in willingly. We listen to their stories of the suffering, misery and
wrongdoings that are happening in that once rich and successful country, from
which people today are scattering in every direction in the realization that
this ship is sinking.”
Ironically, Polianskiy made this ridiculous statement on the
weekend when Ukrainians were observing the 85th anniversary of the Russian-made
famine that killed 7-10 million Ukrainian men, women and children.
Rather than telling what had happened in the Kerch Strait,
Polianskiy offered a fictional presentation, blaming Ukraine for violating
Russia’s territorial waters. Fortunately, high-tech devices have proved that the
Ukrainian vessels were in fact in international waters.
Polianskiy further cautioned that sanctions will never
force Russia to
change its behavior. In other words, the world shouldn’t expect a de-escalation
of military hostilities against Ukraine and
other countries anytime soon.
For all dreamers around the world, Russia confirmed
at UN Security Council that nothing, no amount of sanctions will force it
to change its behavior and policies. It will actively defend its state,
sovereignty and independence against all detractors and expand its empire.
It’s curious how many economic penalties would force Russia
to change its ways when according to estimates by experts at Bloomberg,
sanctions against the Russia have already caused the country’s economy
to lose additional 6%.
Permanent Representative of Ukraine to the UN Volodymyr Yelchenko during the Security
Council meeting accused Russia of committing an act of an open military
aggression against Ukraine by targeting, firing on and capturing three military
vessels. By all accounts, this wasn’t the first such act. Then he dramatically
added that “Nevertheless, further escalation of the situation by the Russian
Federation should not be ruled out,” indicating that Kyiv is preparing for a
greater military insertion against Ukraine by invading Russian forces. Yelchenko
said according to available intelligence data, there is a clear threat for
invasion and seizing of Mariupol and Berdyansk, which dovetails with Putin’s
plans for “Novorossiya.”
“Kremlin’s criminal regime has once again demonstrated that
it won’t stop its aggressive policy and is ready for any acts of aggression
against the Ukrainian state. The dramatic escalation of the situation in the
region needs a prompt reaction from international community,” he said.
US Ambassador to the United Nations Nikki Haley warned Russia that its seizure of three Ukrainian
vessels was an “outrageous violation of sovereign Ukrainian territory” and
urged Moscow to reduce tensions caused by its “arrogant” act. Haley said she
had spoken with President Donald Trump
and Secretary of State Mike Pompeo
earlier on Monday and that her statement “reflects the concerns at the highest
level.”
“As President Trump has said many times, the United States would
welcome a normal relationship with Russia. But outlaw actions like this one
continue to make that impossible,” said Haley, a member of Trump’s cabinet. “The
United States will maintain its Crimea-related sanctions against Russia.
Further Russian escalation of this kind will only make matters worse. It will
further undermine Russia’s standing in the world. It will further sour Russia’s
relations with the U.S. and many other countries,” Haley said.
She further said “Sunday’s outrageous violation of sovereign
Ukrainian territory is part of a pattern of Russian behavior that includes the
purported annexation of Crimea, and abuses against countless Ukrainians in
Crimea, as well as stoking conflict that has taken the lives of more than ten
thousand people in eastern Ukraine, and it shows no sign of decreasing. What we
witnessed this weekend is yet another reckless Russian escalation. Let’s be
clear about what is known.”
Though she favorably cited Trump, the President of the
United States did not condemn Russia for firing upon Ukrainian ships in
international waters. Ahead of the G7 meeting in Argentina, Trump’s staff
announced that the President would not meet officially with Putin but Trump did
meet with him in a less-than-official setting.
The international community ran to Ukraine’s side with
declarations of support and condemnation for Russia.
NATO issued a statement giving unconditional support to
Ukraine, said NATO spokesperson Oana
Lungescu in a commentary for Evropeyska Pravda. Lungescu emphasized that
NATO is closely monitoring developments in the Azov Sea and the Kerch Strait.
“We are in contact with the Ukrainian authorities. We call for restraint and
de-escalation.
“NATO fully supports the sovereignty and territorial
integrity of Ukraine, including its navigational rights in its territorial
waters. We call on Russia to ensure unhindered access to Ukrainian ports in the
Azov Sea, in accordance with international law,” the NATO press secretary
stated.
NATO Secretary General Jens
Stoltenberg said following a meeting of the NATO-Ukraine Commission that
all allies expressed their full support for Ukraine’s territorial integrity and
sovereignty.
“So we call on Russia to ensure unhindered access to Ukrainian ports and allow
freedom of navigation for Ukraine in the Sea of Azov and the Kerch Strait.
“There is no justification for the use of military force
against Ukrainian ships and naval personnel. So we call on Russia
to release immediately the Ukrainian sailors and ships it seized yesterday.” Stoltenberg
said.
In Washington, the Congressional Ukraine Caucus Chairs,
Representatives Marcy Kaptur (D-OH),
Andy Harris (R-MD), Sander Levin (D-MI) and Brian Fitzpatrick (R-PA), among many
other lawmakers from both sides of the aisle, rebuked Russia’s attack on
Ukraine near the Kerch Strait in the Sea of Azov:
“As co-chairs of the Congressional Ukraine Caucus, we
strongly condemn Russia’s dangerous naval assault on Ukrainian ships. This
episode, as well as Russia’s blockade of Ukrainian ports, is a deeply
disturbing sign of continued Russian aggression in its efforts to tighten its
bloody grip and illegitimate occupation of the Crimean peninsula.
“We join the international community and our NATO allies in
resolute affirmation of the fact that Crimea and its surrounding waters belong
to Ukraine. We call on Russian authorities, in accordance with international
law, to cease any and all interference with access to Ukrainian ports and the
Azov Sea. Russia must end this bloody and unjust occupation of Ukrainian
sovereign territory.”
Secretary of State Michael
R. Pompeo added the USA’s deep concern over the incident in the Kerch
Strait. He noted that reports that Russian vessels rammed and fired on the
Ukrainian ships, injuring Ukrainian crewmen, before seizing three vessels,
represent a dangerous escalation and a violation of international law.
“The United States condemns this aggressive Russian action.
We call on Russia to return to Ukraine its vessels and detained crew members, and
to respect Ukraine’s sovereignty and territorial integrity within its
internationally recognized borders, extending to its territorial waters,”
Pompeo said.
The former captive nations came to Ukraine’s defense. Lithuanian
President Dalia Grybauskaitė said “obviously,
Russia is waging a direct and aggressive war against Ukraine, cynically
violating international agreements and assumed obligations. We are ready to
defend it.”
Lithuania’s Minister of Foreign Affairs Linas
Linkevicius stated that Russian actions undermine security of the whole
region. “We strongly condemn Russia’s move to physically block Kerch Strait and
ramming of Ukrainian boat. Cannot be qualified differently than an act of
aggression & another blatant violation of an international maritime law,”
said Linkevicius.
European Council President Donald Tusk condemned Russia’s seizure of Ukrainian navy vessels in
the Kerch Strait.
“I condemn Russian use of force in the Azov Sea. Russian
authorities must return Ukrainian sailors, vessels and refrain from further
provocations,” Tusk said after a phone call with Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko. “Europe will stay
united in support of Ukraine.”
Prime Minister Theresa
May’s spokesman told reporters “We condemn Russia’s act of aggression. This
incident provides further evidence of Russia’s destabilizing behavior in the
region.”
While sanctions’ success may be questionable in the wake of
Polianskiy’s admission in the Security Council that Russia will not budge, France
and Germany have already declared that they do not support the introduction of
new sanctions against the Russia for seizing Ukrainian ships. According to
sources in the EU’s diplomatic circles, at a private meeting of the Political
and Security Committee (PSC) in Brussels on Tuesday, diplomats from France and
Germany said it is now important to take measures to build confidence. Berlin
and Paris believe that sanctions are not part of these activities. Cracks in
the pro-Ukrainian, anti-Russian alliance?
Later in the week, Russia revealed perhaps its next target. Spokesperson for Russia’s
Foreign Ministry Maria Zakharova has
threated Ukraine with occupation of regions where Russian diplomatic
institutions located. The Russian MFA said the Russian people “could lose
patience,” which would lead to attacks on the Ukrainian diplomatic institutions
on Russian territory.
Chief of the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Viktor Muzhenko says there were 23
Ukrainians on board the three boats captured by Russia near the Kerch Strait
and contact with them has been lost. “We know nothing about the navy men, there
is only information about six wounded, two of them have been wounded seriously,”
he said at a meeting of the National Security and Defense Council of Ukraine in
Kyiv in the early hours of Monday, November 26.
Ukrainian sailors were transferred toward the end of the
week from occupied Crimea to a Moscow prison as Dzhemil Temyshev, the lawyer of captured sailor Roman Mokriak,
reported on Facebook.
“The sailors are already in Moscow. The colleagues from
Lefortovo reported this information. Today due to the “technical events,”
Lefortovo was almost closed. And we could not meet our clients in
Simferopol as supposedly they were involved in some events,” the lawyer
reported.
Global support for Ukraine is welcome but with Russia’s
aggressiveness and arrogance intensifying, the x-captive nations must revive
wartime alliances such as the Anti-Bolshevik Bloc of Nations renamed
Anti-Russian Bloc of Nations that must be supported militarily and politically
by a global coalition of free countries determined to subdue Russia.
Ukrainian Foreign Minister Pavlo Klimkin said in a tweet that you don’t need to be a James Bond to ascertain Russia’s
designs: re-subjugation of Ukraine and the other x-captive nations and then …
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