‘I Can’t Believe
Russia Lied to Me’
On the night of August 20, 1968, some 200,000 Warsaw Pact troops and 5,000 tanks, led by
Russia, then called Soviet Russia or the USSR, invaded Czechoslovakia to crush the “Prague
Spring” – the Czecho-Slovak people’s short-lived period of liberalization,
democracy and distancing itself from Moscow’s captivity. The Kremlin justified
its invasion of Czecho-Slovakia with the recently proclaimed Brezhnev Doctrine, enunciated by General
Secretary Leonid Brezhnev, which gave Moscow the red light to invade any
captive nation that sought to deviate from the Soviet Russian prison of
nations. Czecho-Slovaks protested the invasion with public demonstrations and
at least one young hero self-immolated, but in the end they were no match for
the Russian tanks. The historic, liberal reforms of First Secretary Alexander Dubcek were revoked and a so-called
“normalization” and re-subjugation began under his successor Gustav Husak.
What was strange about this invasion was that none of the
intelligence services, analysts, spies and satellites of USA and the other free
world countries even caught a glimpse of Russia’s mass aggression – or
suspected it.
Forty-six years later, on February 28, 2014, a few days after the closing ceremony of the 2014 Winter Olympics in Sochi, Russia,
Russian troops invaded Ukraine by way of Crimea
and ultimately staged fabricated elections and annexed the Ukrainian peninsula.
The number troops and armor did not equal the army that invaded Czecho-Slovakia
but still none of the intelligence services, analysts, spies and satellites of
USA and the other free world countries even caught a glimpse of Russia’s latest
aggression against a former captive nation – or suspected it.
The dangerous trend
that I am alluding to is not Russia’s invasion of neighboring countries in the
persistent imperial belief that once a Russian captive nation, always a Russian
captive nation, and its imperial messianic
vision of itself. The pattern that I’m referring to is the absence of any
intelligence about Russia’s belligerent intentions that would have saved the
captive nations from bloodshed and shielded free world leaders’ from foolish
admissions that the West was caught
totally off guard by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.
How can that be? While, to quote Winston Churchill, Russia is a riddle wrapped in a
mystery inside an enigma for many in the free world, there have been
volumes of practical and anecdotal evidence of Moscow’s threatening activities
and plans. Since being allowed by western powers to seize Eastern Europe at the
end of World War II, Russia continued in the ensuing decades to demonstrate its
penchant for building and preserving its empire. It quashed freedom uprisings in Poland, East Germany, Hungary and
Czecho-Slovakia. National, human and religious activists in the USSR and East
Europe waged peaceful and not-so-peaceful opposition against Russia while it
arrested and incarcerated them in psychiatric asylums, prisons and concentration camps.
Shouldn’t this have sent a compelling signal to the free
world leaders that something amiss is brewing
in Russia’s captive nations and it is compelling the Kremlin to counterattack against
peaceful civil activists? The West should have then applied multilateral pressure
and sanctions on Moscow to cease and desist persecuting and oppressing them
rather than open trade with the Russian
dictatorship.
Leaders of the captive nations’ liberation movements have also publicly warned that Russia cannot
be trusted and even if it undergoes political and social transformations – like
from tsarism to communism to federal
presidency – its imperial nature will not diminish.
Stepan Bandera,
leader of the Organization of Ukrainian Nationalists, who was assassinated by a
Russian agent on October 15, 1959, wrote in his Perspectives of a Ukrainian
Revolution: “There is only one Russia –
imperialist. It will be so until Russian imperialism will be totally obliterated
and the Russian people will recover from it by understanding that Russia’s
imperialism it the source of its greatest disaster – victims, anguish and decline.
This is still a long way off.”
Bandera also said as if writing about today’s Russian war
against Ukraine:
“If bolshevism is replaced tomorrow by another form of Russian
imperialism, it will first of all turn against the independence of Ukraine, turn
to enslaving it. This is clearly proven by state political thought and attitude
of the Russian masses, all of Russian media, communist and anti-bolshevik alike.
All of them are extremely hostile toward the idea of a separate, sovereign
state of Ukraine.”
“The idea of dignity and respect for people, the free
development of their own initiative, creative and worthy self-inclusion into a
harmonious collective of national and social life is diametrically opposed to bolshevik
tyranny, its enslavement and exploitation of people, its trampling of their
dignity and ruining freedom. "
The free world cannot hide behind the excuse that it never heard of Bandera and the
aspirations to freedom of the captive nations because the post-war intelligence
services of the US, Britain and other countries solicited their knowledge,
ideas and analyses. So what happened to the archives?
That may be history, but statements by today’s former
captive nations’ leaders also warn against Russian
threats and aggression. Lithuania’s President Dalia Grybauskaitė is a staunch support of lethal aid to Ukraine
and is preparing her nation in case Russian armies cross its border. Poland, Latvia and Estonia are also
increasing military training and expenditures.
Andrius Kubilius,
former Prime Minister of Lithuania, was quoted as saying: “This is Putin’s war, which was initiated by him, which has been
supported by him, which is being implemented by him, and which can only be
stopped by him. Ukraine has shown clear signs that it no longer wants to
support this post-imperial Russian entity, and Mr. Putin, along with the
mainstream political class in Russia, is still living with a lot of nostalgia
for the imperial past. Dismantling the Russian Empire has been a very painful
and very difficult process. And the only way in which we can assist Russia in
overcoming their psychologically painful situation is by helping Ukraine. The
biggest mistake would be to allow ourselves to be threatened by statements
about red lines.”
It is safe to say that if the free world leaders had paid
attention to Bandera and the other liberation ideologues – past and present,
the Russo-Ukraine War of 2014-15
would not have occurred or at least it would not have surprised, shocked and
dismayed the US, Britain, Canada and the other democracies.
Thirteen months after Russia launched its war against
Ukraine, western newspapers are filled with headlines that do not bode well for
the competence of free world leaders. Here are a few that I have gleaned in the
past three weeks:
Ukraine: UK and EU ‘badly
misread’ Russia
Errors over Ukraine ‘catastrophic’:
UK parliament report
Russia's Putin Took
European States ‘By Surprise’ in Ukraine: Report
Britain ‘at mercy’ of
Putin in a war against Russia, former defence chiefs warn
UK guilty of ‘catastrophic
misreading’ of Ukraine crisis, Lords report claims
Russia ‘undermining’
global world order: US
Russian expansionism
may pose existential threat, says NATO general
Russian tensions
could escalate into all-out war, says NATO general
Ukraine: Kerry threatens
further sanctions over ‘craven’ Russian actions
PARALYZED BY UKRAINE,
DUMBFOUNDED BY RUSSIA
Kerry: Russia has
lied about its activities in Ukraine
US furious over
Russia’s ‘lies’ on Ukraine
And a few paragraphs from articles about what newspapers
call the “Ukraine crisis.”
** “London (AFP) – Britain and the European Union are guilty
of “sleepwalking” into a crisis in Ukraine, a scathing report from a British
parliamentary committee said on Friday.”
** “LONDON — America’s European allies sleepwalked into the
conflict with Russia in Ukraine and should now find ways to stop the
relationship with Moscow from deteriorating further, according to a report by
British lawmakers.”
** “Sir Michael Graydon, a former chief of the air
staff, told The Times newspaper: “They have got us more or less
at their mercy. We only have two bases where we have got Typhoons. One is in
Scotland, one is in Lincolnshire. “The guys in Lincolnshire were having to
go all the way down to Cornwall just to get anywhere near.”
** “The UK is guilty of sleepwalking into the crisis in
Ukraine and has not been as active or visible as it should be, according to a
damning report into the British and European approach to the crisis by the main House
of Lords committee on foreign affairs.
“The report – the fullest evaluation of the Ukraine crisis
to emerge from the British parliament – also finds that expertise within the
Foreign Office towards Russia has diminished significantly, and according to
the committee chairman, Lord Tugendhat, ‘led to a catastrophic misreading of
the mood in the run-up to the crisis.’”
** “Washington (AFP) – In some of its sharpest criticism to
date, Washington accused Moscow on Friday of ‘undermining’ the global order by
supporting rebels in eastern Ukraine.
“The sluggish disintegration of a weak peace deal in Ukraine
has come as nothing less than a blessing for President Obama. It has helped
mask his administration's inability to determine the best response to the
crisis, and to Russia.
“But this respite will not last. Given the events on the
ground, Obama will soon have to decide whether to send weapons and trainers to
the Ukrainian government and risk turning what has been largely a border
skirmish into a major conflict by proxy with serious implications for the
United States, Europe, and American interests worldwide.”
** “WASHINGTON (AP) — Secretary of State John Kerry said
Tuesday that Russia has repeatedly lied to him about its activities in Ukraine
where pro-Russian rebels are fighting national forces.
“‘Russia is engaged in a rather remarkable period of the
most overt and extensive propaganda exercise that I’ve seen since the very
height of the Cold War,’” Kerry told a U.S. Senate Appropriations subcommittee.
‘And they have been persisting in their misrepresentations — lies — whatever
you want to call them about their activities there to my face, to the face of
others on many different occasions.’”
John Kerry’s bizzare
admission is perhaps the most detrimental.
These headlines and sentences prove in retrospect at least
that the free world understands that it has been duped by Moscow. But what
actions will it take to rectify the situation?
Russia is a
formidable enemy by itself. It devotes a great deal of attention and rubles
to its armed forces and flaunts its vision of global imperialism. However, when
you combine its saber rattling with free world’s naïve incompetence, then the
western democracies are just leaving the door
open to their own demise.
Without meaning to aggravate their calamitous mistakes, if Ukraine loses its war with Russia –
and by loses I mean anything except a complete
and unconditional withdrawal of Russia from Ukraine – then this generation of
world leaders will certainly be inscribed in history as the one that lost Ukraine on its watch.